Systems and methods for training a surrogate model for predicting system states for a building management system based on generated data from a simulation model are disclosed herein. The simulation model is calibrated for a building of interest. The building of interest includes building equipment operable to control a variable state of the building. The simulated data of system states are generated using the calibrated simulation model. A surrogate model is trained based on the simulated data of system states from the calibrated simulation model. System state predictions are generated using the surrogate model. The surrogate model is re-trained based on updated operational data. An updated series of system state predictions is generated using the re-trained surrogate model.

A method for managing a power load of a grid includes performing a statistic-based distribution estimation of a composite load model using static and dynamic models with Gibbs sampling; deriving a distribution estimation of load model coefficients; and controlling grid power based on a simulation, a prediction, a stability analysis or a reliability analysis with the load model coefficients.

Systems and methods for training a reinforcement learning (RL) model for HVAC control are disclosed herein. A calibrated simulation model is used to train a surrogate model of the HVAC system operating within a building. The surrogate model is used to generate simulated experience data for the HVAC system. The simulated experience data can be used to train a reinforcement learning (RL) model of the HVAC system. The RL model is used to control the HVAC system based on the current state of the system and the best predicted action to perform in the current state. The HVAC system generates real experience data based on the actual operation of the HVAC system within the building. The real experience data is used to retrain the surrogate model, and additional simulated experience data is generated using the surrogate model. The RL model can be retrained using the additional simulated experience data.

Systems and methods for training a surrogate model for predicting system states for a building management system based on generated data from a system identification model are disclosed herein. The system identification model is used to generate predicted system parameters of a zone of the building based on historic data from operation of the building equipment. The surrogate model is trained based on the predicted system parameters from the system identification model. Predicted future parameters of the variable state of the building are generated using the surrogate model. The surrogate model is re-trained based on new operational data from the building equipment. An updated series of predicted future parameters is generated using the re-trained surrogate model.

The present invention provides a time series prediction method, wherein the time series prediction method includes the steps of: inputting a time series into a plurality of models to generate a plurality of predicted time series, respectively; using the plurality of models to calculate a plurality of uncertainty parameters, wherein the plurality of uncertainty parameters correspond to the plurality of predicted time series, respectively; determining a weight of each predicted time series according to the plurality of uncertainty parameters; and referring to the weight of each predicted time series to perform a weighting operation upon the plurality of predicted time series to generate a final predicted time series.

A controller for equipment that operate to provide heating or cooling to a building or campus includes a processing circuit configured to obtain utility rate data indicating a price of resources consumed by the equipment to serve energy loads of the building or campus, obtain an objective function that expresses a total monetary cost of operating the equipment over an optimization period as a function of the utility rate data and an amount of the resources consumed by the equipment, determine a relationship between resource consumption and load production of the equipment, optimize the objective function over the optimization subject to a constraint based on the relationship between the resource consumption and the load production of the equipment to determine a distribution of the load production across the equipment, and operate the equipment to achieve the distribution.

A powered balancing mobility device that can provide the user the ability to safely navigate expected environments of daily living including the ability to maneuver in confined spaces and to climb curbs, stairs, and other obstacles, and to travel safely and comfortably in vehicles. The mobility device can provide elevated, balanced travel.

Systems and methods for controlling an air-conditioning system based on gait recognition. The system includes a communication interface configured to receive sensor data captured of a scene by a sensor. The system further includes a storage configured to store the sensor data and a profile of registered users. The system also includes at least one processor. The at least one processor is configured to identify a human object within the sensor data. The processor is further configured to recognize gait features of the identified human object. The processor is also configured to generate a first instruction controlling the air-conditioning system based on the recognized gait features.

A method of predicting the intensity of sun light irradiating the ground. At least two input images are provided of a time series of images captured from the sky; a plurality of image features are extracted from the at least two input images; a set of meta data associated with the at least two input images are determined; the image features and the meta data are supplied as input data to a neural network; and neural network operations predict the future intensity of the sun light as a function of the input data. Further, a data processing unit and a computer program for controlling or carrying out the described method are described, as well as an electric power system with such a data processing unit.

The present disclosure is directed to systems and methods for economically optimal control of an electrical system. Some embodiments employ generalized multivariable constrained continuous optimization techniques to determine an optimal control sequence over a future time domain in the presence of any number of costs, savings opportunities (value streams), and constraints. Some embodiments also include control methods that enable infrequent recalculation of the optimal setpoints. Some embodiments may include a battery degradation model that, working in conjunction with the economic optimizer, enables the most economical use of any type of battery. Some embodiments include techniques for load and generation learning and prediction. Some embodiments include consideration of external data, such as weather.