Method for zonal injection profiling and extraction of hydrocarbons in reservoirs
11060395 ยท 2021-07-13
Assignee
Inventors
- Sri Venkata Tapovan Lolla (Houston, TX)
- Badrinarayanan Velamur Asokan (Houston, TX)
- Jerome Lewandowski (Spring, TX)
Cpc classification
E21B2200/20
FIXED CONSTRUCTIONS
E21B41/00
FIXED CONSTRUCTIONS
E21B43/16
FIXED CONSTRUCTIONS
International classification
E21B41/00
FIXED CONSTRUCTIONS
Abstract
Herein disclosed are methods and systems related to processes for injection wells generally utilized in the oil and gas industry. More particularly, disclosed herein are methods and systems related to improving the accuracy of profiling and determining individual cumulative fluid injection profiles for an injection period for multiple zones of an injection well in reservoir systems utilizing conventional warmback models. The methods herein allow for proper modeling and allocation of all injection zones, including zones experiencing a cooldown phenomena during shut-in by transforming the cooldown zonal temperature profiles into temperature profiles which can be utilized in a conventional warmback analysis. These methods are particularly useful in mature reservoir systems where the background reference temperature profile is no longer governed by the geothermal reference temperature profile.
Claims
1. A method of estimating the relative cumulative volume of fluids injected into multiple zones of an injection well located in a hydrocarbon reservoir, comprising: a) determining an injection period for the injection well when the injection well is injecting at least one injection fluid under steady state conditions; b) inputting a geometry of the injection well into a processor containing a Conventional Warmback Analysis software package; c) inputting the depths of the multiple zones of the hydrocarbon reservoir and the overburden of the hydrocarbon reservoir into the processor; d) recording an injection temperature profile for the injection well during the injection period; e) shutting in the injection well for a first shut-in period; f) monitoring the temperature profile of the injection well during the first shut-in period and identifying a time coincident with the appearance of warmback signatures at the multiple zones; g) recording an initial shut-in temperature profile of the injection well at a time coincident with the appearance of warmback signatures at reservoir depths during the first shut-in period and ending the first shut-in period; h) continuing to monitor the temperature profile of the injection well after step g) during a second shut-in period and identifying a time coincident with the disappearance of warmback signatures at the multiple zones; i) recording a long-term shut-in temperature profile of the injection well at a time coincident with the disappearance of warmback signatures at the multiple zones during the second shut-in period and ending the second shut-in period; j) inputting the initial shut-in temperature profile as a shut-in temperature profile into the processor; k) inputting the long-term shut-in temperature profile as a reference temperature profile into the processor; l) inputting the duration of the first shut-in period and the duration of the second shut-in period into the processor; m) analyzing the information input into the processor from the prior steps utilizing the Conventional Warmback Analysis software package; and n) obtaining computational results from the Conventional Warmback Analysis software package; wherein the computational results comprise relative cumulative fluid injection profiles along the injection well for the injection period.
2. The method of claim 1, further comprising: determining either the appearance of a warmback signature or the disappearance of a warmback signature by: solving a pure heat conduction problem between the wellbore and the surrounding rock fixed at a long-term shut-in temperature profile without considering any injection effects, wherein at any overburden depth (indicated by superscript ob), wherein the shut-in temperature satisfies the equation:
T.sub.LTSIT.sup.obT.sub.shutin.sup.ob(t)=(T.sub.LTSIT.sup.obT.sub.inj.sup.ob)e.sup.t, wherein T.sub.LTSIT.sup.ob, T.sub.shutin.sup.ob and T.sub.inj.sup.ob refer to the long-term shut-in temperature, shut-in temperature and the injection temperature at the selected overburden depth, respectively, t indicates the time elapsed since the shut-in of the injection well, and represents the rate of exponential warm-up to the long-term shut-in temperature, at the overburden depth; empirically estimating the exponential coefficient by plotting the difference T.sub.LTSIT.sup.obT.sub.shutin.sup.ob(t) on a semi-logarithmic scale against time t at various times during the shut-in, fitting a straight line through the resulting data points, and estimating the coefficient as the negative slope of the fitted straight line; and calculating the multiple extrapolated shut-in temperatures for at least one pay zone of the injection well (indicated by T.sub.extrap-shutin.sup.pz(t)) by the formula:
T.sub.extra-shutin.sup.pz(t)=T.sub.LTSIT.sup.pz(T.sub.LTSIT.sup.pzT.sub.inj.sup.pz)e.sup.t; determining the difference between each of the calculated extrapolated shut-in temperatures and the temperatures of the monitored temperature profiles for the at least one pay zone; determining the appearance of a warmback signature or disappearance of a warmback signature if the difference between at least a portion of the temperatures of the monitored temperature profile for the at least one pay zone and their associated calculated extrapolated shut-in temperatures for the at least one pay zone is greater than a threshold value for the appearance of a warmback signature, or is less than a threshold value for the disappearance of a warmback signature.
3. The method of claim 2, wherein the at least a portion of the temperatures of the monitored temperature profile for the at least one pay zone is selected from at least one of: at least 50% of all of the temperatures of the monitored temperature profile for the at least one pay zone; at least 75% of all of the temperatures of the monitored temperature profile for the at least one pay zone; at least 90% of all of the temperatures of the monitored temperature profile for the at least one pay zone; all of the temperatures of the monitored temperature profile for the at least one pay zone; within 20% of the calculated average of the temperatures of the monitored temperature profile for the at least one pay zone; the calculated average of the temperatures of the monitored temperature profile for the at least one pay zone; within 20% of the calculated median of the temperatures of the monitored temperature profile for the at least one pay zone; the calculated median of the temperatures of the monitored temperature profile for the at least one pay zone.
4. The method of claim 2, wherein the threshold value is selected from: less than 1 F.; less than 5 F.; less than 10 F.; less than 25 F.; less than 1% based on temperatures in F.; less than 2% based on temperatures in F.; less than 5% based on temperatures in F.; and less than 10% based on temperatures in F.
5. The method of claim 2, wherein the steps are performed for more than one pay zone of the injection well.
6. The method of claim 2, wherein the steps are performed for all of the pay zones of the injection well.
7. The method of claim 1, further comprising: identifying at least one cooldown zone from the multiple of zones, wherein the temperatures of the initial shut-in temperature profile of the cooldown zone are higher than the long-term shut-in temperature profile; selecting a T.sub.mirror value that is a higher temperature value than the temperatures of the initial shut-in temperature profile of the cooldown zone; performing a transformation step in a pre-processor unit to transform the injection temperature profile of the cooldown zone, the initial shut-in temperature profile of the cooldown zone, and the long-term shut-in temperature profile of the cooldown zone, wherein the transformation step includes calculating mirrored values for the injection temperature profile of the cooldown zone, initial shut-in temperature profile of the cooldown zone, and the long-term shut-in temperature profile of the cooldown zone, to produce a mirrored injection temperature profile of the cooldown zone, mirrored initial shut-in temperature profile of the cooldown zone, and a mirrored long-term shut-in temperature profile of the cooldown zone; and substituting the mirrored injection temperature profile of the cooldown zone for the injection temperature profile of the cooldown zone, the mirrored initial shut-in temperature profile of the cooldown zone for the initial shut-in temperature profile of the cooldown zone, and the mirrored long-term shut-in temperature profile for the long-term shut-in temperature profile of the cooldown zone prior to inputting the injection temperature profile as the steady injection temperature profile into the processor, the initial shut-in temperature profile as a shut-in temperature profile into the processor; and inputting the long-term shut-in temperature profile as a reference temperature profile into the processor.
8. The method of claim 7, wherein the following equations are used in the transformation step:
T.sub.inj-mirrored(y)=2T.sub.mirrorT.sub.inj(y)
T.sub.shutin-mirrored(y)=2T.sub.mirrorT.sub.shutin(y)
T.sub.ref-mirrored(y)=2T.sub.mirrorT.sub.ref(y)
9. The method of claim 1, wherein the injection well is a vertical well or a deviated well.
10. The method of claim 1, wherein the hydrocarbon reservoir comprises more than one pay zone.
11. The method of claim 1, wherein the hydrocarbon reservoir comprises at least two pay zones, wherein the two pay zones are separated by a substantially impermeable layer.
12. The method of claim 1, wherein the hydrocarbon reservoir is a mature reservoir.
13. The method of claim 1, wherein the hydrocarbon reservoir is a sub-cooled reservoir.
14. The method of claim 1, further comprising extracting hydrocarbons from the hydrocarbon reservoir based on the computational results.
15. A method of estimating the relative cumulative volume of fluids injected into multiple zones of an injection well located in a hydrocarbon reservoir, comprising: a) determining an injection period for the injection well when the injection well is injecting at least one injection fluid under steady state conditions; b) inputting a geometry of the injection well into a processor containing a Conventional Warmback Analysis software package; c) inputting the depths of the multiple zones of the hydrocarbon reservoir and the overburden of the hydrocarbon reservoir into the processor; d) recording an injection temperature profile for the injection well during the injection period; e) shutting in the injection well for a first shut-in period; f) monitoring the temperature profile of the injection well during the first shut-in period and identifying a time coincident with the appearance of warmback signatures at the multiple zones; g) recording an initial shut-in temperature profile of the injection well at a time coincident with the appearance of warmback signatures at reservoir depths during the first shut-in period and ending the first shut-in period; h) continuing to monitor the temperature profile of the injection well after step g) during a second shut-in period and identifying a time coincident with the disappearance of warmback signatures at the multiple zones; i) calculating multiple long-term shut-in temperatures at multiple depths of the injection well, y, by utilizing a statistical toolbox to asymptotically extrapolate the temperatures of the monitored shut-in temperature profile in step h) by fitting a model that describes the exponential behavior of the wellbore temperature at each of the multiple depths by using the equation:
T.sub.LTSITT.sub.shutin(t)=(T.sub.LTSITT.sub.inj)e.sup.t, wherein T.sub.LTSIT, T.sub.shutin and T.sub.inj refer to the long-term shut-in temperature, the shut-in temperature and the injection temperature at the selected depth, respectively, t indicates the time elapsed since the well was shut-in, and represents the rate of exponential warm-up of the wellbore to the long-term shut-in temperature; j) combining the multiple asymptotically extrapolated temperatures at each of the multiple depths to form a long-term shut-in temperature profile; k) inputting the initial shut-in temperature profile as a shut-in temperature profile into the processor; 1) inputting the long-term shut-in temperature profile as a reference temperature profile into the processor; m) inputting the duration of the first shut-in period and the duration of the second shut-in period into the processor; n) analyzing the information input into the processor from the prior steps utilizing the Conventional Warmback Analysis software package; and o) obtaining computational results from the Conventional Warmback Analysis software package; wherein the computational results comprise relative cumulative fluid injection profiles along the injection well for the injection period.
16. The method of claim 1, further comprising performing at least one or more of the following actions based on the computational results: initiate, cease, increase, or decrease a flow rate of the injection fluid from the injection well or from another injection well located in the reservoir; initiate, cease, increase, or decrease the flow or flow rate of a production fluid from a production well located in the reservoir, to establish an injection pattern; modify the injection pattern of the injection fluid along the well; install or reactivate an additional well in the reservoir; change injection pressure at the well head; shut in flow to certain zones and/or open certain zones; change the schedule of the injection cycle; take the injection well or another existing well in the reservoir out of service; apply a maintenance procedure to the well; or adjust the composition, temperature or pressure of the injection fluid.
17. A method for determining, for planning purposes, the duration of a subsequent injection schedule for an injection well located in a hydrocarbon reservoir, comprising: during a first cycle, performing the steps comprising: 1a) shutting in the injection well; 1b) establishing a long-term shut-in temperature of the injection well; 1c) starting injection of an injection fluid into the injection well at a known rate for a short period of time, q.sub.base; 1d) measuring and recording the period of injecting the injection fluid in step 1c) as t.sub.1 base; 1e) stopping the injection of the injection fluid and shut in the injection well; 1f) measuring and recording the time for the appearance of the warmback signatures as t.sub.2_base; 1g) measuring and recording the time for the disappearance of the warmback signatures as t.sub.3_base; and determining the durations of the subsequent injection schedule by performing the steps comprising: 2a) beginning re-injection of the injection fluid into the injection well in normal operations for a period of time, t.sub.4; 2b) measuring and recording the total cumulative amount of the injection fluid that has been injected during the period t.sub.4 as Q; and 2c) determining, for planning purposes, the duration in the subsequent injection schedule for the warmback traces to appear as t.sub.2_base and the durations in the subsequent injection schedule for the warmback traces to disappear as t.sub.3_base from the following equations:
18. The method of claim 17, further comprising: recording the temperature profile of the injection well at the end of step 1g); and updating the long-term shut-in temperature profile in a warmback analysis with the temperature profile of the injection well at the end of step 1g).
19. The method of claim 17, wherein the period of injecting the injection fluid in step 1c), t.sub.1 base, is less than 1 week.
Description
BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
(1) The advantages of the present techniques are better understood by referring to the following detailed description and the attached drawings, in which:
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DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE EMBODIMENTS
(9) In the following detailed description section, specific embodiments of the present techniques are described. However, to the extent that the following description is specific to a particular embodiment or a particular use of the present techniques, this is intended to be for exemplary purposes only and simply provides a description of the exemplary embodiments. Accordingly, the techniques are not limited to the specific embodiments described below, but rather, include all alternatives, modifications, and equivalents falling within the true spirit and scope of the appended claims.
(10) The processes and methods herein provide a new method for determining zonal flow rates from an injection well injecting into a multi-layer hydrocarbon reservoir using distributed temperature measurements that mitigates the limitations and issues of the prior art described above.
(11) It has been discovered by the authors herein that the Conventional Warmback Analysis method described in the prior art is generally accurate in profiling injector wells in Greenfield reservoir applications (i.e., new or early-life reservoirs). However, Conventional Warmback Analysis often produces inaccurate estimates of the zonal flow rates when applied to Brownfields (e.g., mature or late-life reservoirs). It has been found that these inaccuracies appear to be tied to the assumption in the prior art that the Geothermal Temperature Profile remains a valid choice for the Reference Temperature Profile for the analysis over the entire life of the reservoir or injection well. It has been found that as a reservoir evolves further into its production cycle, prolonged injection causes the temperature and the thermal properties of the surrounding formation to gradually change. Consequently, the Geothermal Temperature Profile becomes increasingly irrelevant to the warmback process and it has been discovered herein that its choice/use for the Reference Temperature produces inaccurate results from the Conventional Warmback Analysis. The Conventional Warmback Analysis hinges on the assumption that the wellbore shut-in temperature profile asymptotes to the Geothermal Temperature Profile. However, it has been discovered that in the case of mature reservoirs, the wellbore fluid does not warm back all the way to the Geothermal Temperature Profile even after extended shut-ins of several months to several years. As a result, the use of the Geothermal Temperature Profile as the Reference Temperature Profile in a Conventional Warmback analysis well result in inaccurate flow profiling of the reservoir.
(12) One of the embodiments of the present invention enables profiling wells in mature reservoirs wherein the injection temperature profile is strictly lower than or equal to the Long-Term Shut-In Temperature Profile, as the term as defined herein. In this embodiment, the Long-Term Shut-In Temperature Profile is utilized as the Reference Temperature Profile in a Conventional Warmback Analysis method with the Long-Term Shut-In Temperature directly enables use of Conventional Warmback Analysis approaches to obtain a more accurate injection profile.
(13) In an embodiment, the appearance and disappearance of these warmback signatures may be determined by calculating an Extrapolated Shut-In Temperature Profile. The Extrapolated Shut-In Temperature Profile refers to the shut-in temperature profile that would have been attained in the wellbore upon shut-in, had no injection occurred in the pay zones 215 and 220. The Extrapolated Shut-In Temperature Profile is calculated by solving a pure heat conduction problem between the wellbore and the surrounding rock fixed at the Long-Term Shut-In Temperature Profile, without considering any injection effects. At any overburden depth (indicated by superscript ob), the shut-in temperature satisfies the equation:
T.sub.LTSIT.sup.obT.sub.shutin.sup.ob(t)=(T.sub.LTSIT.sup.obT.sub.inj.sup.ob)e.sup.t(Eq. 1)
where T.sub.LTSIT.sup.ob, T.sub.shutin.sup.ob and T.sub.inj.sup.ob refer to the Long-Term Shut-In Temperature, the shut-in temperature (as a function of time) and the injection temperature at the selected overburden depth, t indicates the time elapsed since the well was shut-in, and A represents the rate of exponential warm-up of the wellbore to the long-term shut-in temperature. In Eq. 1, all variables are known except for the exponential coefficient . Thus, the exponential coefficient may be empirically estimated by plotting the difference T.sub.LTSIT.sup.obT.sub.shutin.sup.ob(t) on a semi-logarithmic scale against time t at various times during the shut-in, and fitting a straight line through the resulting data points. The coefficient can then be estimated as the negative slope of the fitted straight line. In practice, the point chosen for the above procedure lies in a non-reservoir interval (e.g., 225) close to the pay zones. Next, the Extrapolated Shut-In Temperature at any pay zone depth (indicated by T.sub.extrap-shutin.sup.pz(t)) may be calculated by:
T.sub.extrap-shutin.sup.pz(t)=T.sub.LTSIR.sup.pz(T.sub.LTSIT.sup.pzT.sub.ink.sup.pz)e.sup.t(Eq. 2)
(14) The Extrapolated Shut-In Temperature calculated by the method associated with the pay zones 215 and 220 in
(15) While an extended shut-in period is the most ideal for obtaining the Long-Term Shut-in Temperature Profile for use within the present invention, it may not always be possible to shut-in the injector well for very long durations. In such cases, a preferred method for generating an accurate Long-Term Shut-in Temperature Profile T.sub.LTSIT (y)across time is described as follows. While the foregoing discussion refers to a single depth y, it should be understood that this method is applied to all the depth values (y) along the injection well to produce the overall Long-Term Shut-in Temperature Profile. In this method, the operator goes through the data acquisition steps as outlined with respect to
T.sub.LTSITT.sub.shutin(t)=(T.sub.LTSITT.sub.inj)e.sup.t(Eq. 3)
(16) where the terms are as similarly defined in Eq. 1, but pertain to any depth y, either in a pay-zone, or the overburden.
(17) Here, the unknowns to be solved for are the exponential coefficient , and the Long-Term Shut-in Temperature T.sub.LTSIT. This process is repeated for different depths y to obtain an approximation to the Long-Term Shut-in Temperature Profile.
(18) Another embodiment of the present invention is a Hybrid Warmback Analysis method that enables profiling in injection wells that inject fluids into reservoirs (including mature and sub-cooled reservoirs) wherein at least a portion of the injection temperature profile is warmer than the Long-Term Shut-In Temperature Profile at the corresponding depth. In particular, this includes reservoirs whose Long Term Shut-In Temperatures are significantly lower than the Geothermal Temperature, and reservoirs where hot fluids such as steam are injected. In these scenarios, even with the use of the Long-Term Shut-In Temperature as the Reference Temperature, Conventional Warmback Analysis methods will yield incorrect injection profiles. These inaccuracies arise from the inability of the Conventional Warmback Analysis to address the situation where a part of the wellbore warms up to the Reference Temperature and a part of the wellbore cools down to the Reference Temperature. Often, the portions that cool down are assigned zero rates resulting in incorrect cumulative injection profiles. This error is compounded by the fact that the remaining warmback zones are allocated the volumes that correspond to the cool-down zones.
(19) This Hybrid Warmback Analysis method comprises a temperature profile pre-processing step that enables the use of Conventional Warmback Analysis approaches in the aforementioned scenario. The inputs to the pre-processing step are: a. Long-Term Shut-In Temperature Profile for the wellbore measured following the most recent long-term shut-in, set as the Reference Temperature in the Hybrid Warmback Analysis, b. Injection temperature profile measured as the wellbore temperature profile during a time of steady injection (e.g. t.sub.1 in
(20) This novel pre-processing step transforms all the inputted temperature profiles in such a way that the transformed temperature profiles together with static well geometry, reservoir depths, and reservoir thickness can be used with a Conventional Warmback Analysis method to obtain accurate injection profiles. During the pre-processing step, the parts of the wellbore temperature profile that exhibit a cooldown (upon shut-in) are mirrored across a reference mirroring temperature, T.sub.mirror. The parts of the wellbore temperature profile exhibiting warmback are left unmodified. This is illustrated in
(21) An approach to selecting T.sub.mirror is the pivoting approach described as follows. T.sub.mirror may be selected as the temperature at the point nearest to the cool-down zone at which the Long-Term Shut-In Temperature profile and the shut-in temperature profile coincide (i.e., have the same value). The value of T.sub.mirror may be held uniformly constant across all cool-down zones, or chosen separately for each one as illustrated as elements T.sub.mirror 1 and T.sub.mirror 2 in
(22) The pre-processing step is further illustrated by continuing with
(23) The pre-processing step leverages the fact that the process of cooldown of zones warmer than the Long-Term Shut-In Temperature Profile (see
(24) The conversion (pre-processing) of a cooldown process into an equivalent warmback process is accomplished in the pre-processing step through the mathematical transformations (Eqs. 4-6), carried out only at depths where the steady injection fluid temperatures are lower than the Long Term Shut-In Temperature. Recall that for a Hybrid Warmback Analysis, the Reference Temperature is set as the Long Term Shut-In Temperature.
T.sub.inj-mirrored(y)=2T.sub.mirrorT.sub.inj(y)(Eq. 4)
T.sub.shutin-mirrored(y)=2T.sub.mirrorT.sub.shutin(y)(Eq. 5)
T.sub.ref-mirrored(y)=2T.sub.mirrorT.sub.ref(y)(Eq. 6)
where,
(25) T.sub.inj(y) is the temperature of the wellbore at depth y during steady injection.
(26) T.sub.inj-mirrored(y) is the calculated mirrored injection temperature of the wellbore at depth y.
(27) T.sub.shutin(y) is the temperature of the wellbore at depth y measured during the shut-in following the injection period in which T.sub.inj(y) was observed.
(28) T.sub.shutin-mirrored(y) is the calculated mirrored shut-in temperature at depth y.
(29) T.sub.ref(y) is the Reference Temperature of the well measured at vertical depth y.
(30) T.sub.ref-mirrored(y) is the calculated mirrored Reference Temperature of the well at depth y.
(31) T.sub.mirror is the reference mirroring temperature selected for the current cool-down zone.
(32) As noted above, these mathematical transformations, depicted in
(33) It should also be noted that the methods described herein can be applied to any of the following scenarios: a. injection wells with cooldown zones only (such as those in mature and sub-cooled reservoirs), b. injection wells with a combination of cooldown zones and warmback zones, c. injection wells with warmback zones only.
It should be understood that when used with injection wells exhibiting both cooldown and warmback zones, the mirroring technique described herein should only be applied to the cooldown zones.
(34) The Hybrid Warmback Analysis method is further illustrated in
(35) The left hand side of
(36) For the cooldown zones 401 and 410, suitable values of T.sub.mirror are selected and the transformed temperature profiles from Equations 3-5 for these zones is illustrated on the right hand side of
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(38) The result of the Hybrid Warmback Analysis method is an injection profile along the length of the well. This information will then be used to determine whether adequate voidage is being replaced in each of the reservoirs. For wells equipped with ability to shut-off or control injection into certain zones through inflow control valves, injection profiles from warmback analysis can be used to manage voidage replacement. Also, results from the Hybrid Warmback Analysis may be used in informed History Matching of a simulation of the reservoir to further assess the efficacy of the sweep and to make operational decisions on infill drilling. The results of the Hybrid Warmback Analysis disclosed herein may be utilized to facilitate the extraction of hydrocarbons from a reservoir. Moreover, the injection profile resulting from the present invention can be used in studies to ascertain the structural integrity of the rock (i.e., whether the formation has been fractured) and adjust zonal flow rates accordingly. Alternatively or additionally, in embodiments herein, the results of the warmback analysis disclosed herein may be used to performing at least one or more of the following actions based on the computational results: initiate, cease, increase, or decrease a flow rate of the injection fluid from the injection well or from another injection well located in the reservoir; initiate, cease, increase, or decrease the flow or flow rate of a production fluid from a production well located in the reservoir; modify the injection pattern of the injection fluid along the well; install or reactivate an additional well in the reservoir; change injection pressure at the well head; shut in flow to certain zones and/or open certain zones; change the schedule of the injection cycle; take the injection well or another existing well in the reservoir out of service; apply a maintenance procedure to the well; and adjust the composition, temperature or pressure of the injection fluid.
(39)
(40) Step 1: Determine the Reference Temperature: For injector wells in greenfields, the Reference Temperature profile may be set as the Geothermal Temperature Profile. For brownfields, the Reference Temperature Profile should be set as the Long-Term Shut-In Temperature Profile, which may be calculated by any of the methods mentioned in the body.
(41) Step 2: Baseline schedule generation: After an initial long-term shut-in (e.g., when the well first comes online), start the injection at a fixed flow rate q.sub.base for a pre-determined short period of time, t.sub.1_base. This period may preferably be less than a week in duration. Following this injection, shut-in the well and record the time for the appearance of the warmback signatures as t.sub.2_base and the time for the disappearance of the warmback signatures as t.sub.3_base. The determination, and associated criteria and alternate ranges, as to the appearance of the warmback signatures and the disappearance of the warmback signatures is the same as prior noted in this disclosure.
(42) Step 3: Planning a future injection schedule for the proposed Hybrid Warmback Analysis: Once the baseline schedule has been recorded from Step 2, this information may be used to plan an injection schedule for a future injection cycle. This calculation provides an estimate of the shut-in durations t.sub.2 and t.sub.3 that are needed, for a given choice of the total volume Q injection injected in the time period t.sub.1. The times for the appearance and disappearance of the warmback signatures are directly proportional to the cumulative injection volume Q in the preceding injection window. As such, in order for the warmback analysis to be accurate, t.sub.2_plan and t.sub.3_plan can be calculated as follows:
(43)
Following the shut-in and prior to re-injection, update the Long-Term Shut-In Temperature with the wellbore temperature profile obtained at the end of time duration t.sub.3_plan using the approaches described in the body.