LIFE PREDICTION METHOD AND LIFE PREDICTION DEVICE FOR OPTICAL MODULE
20200381889 ยท 2020-12-03
Assignee
Inventors
- Takeshi Suehiro (Tokyo, JP)
- Kenichi Nakura (Tokyo, JP)
- Hiromu SATO (Tokyo, JP)
- Kazuyuki ISHIDA (Tokyo, JP)
- Hideaki OHASHI (Tokyo, JP)
- Noriyuki Imada (Tokyo, JP)
- Nanako HORAYAMA (Tokyo, JP)
Cpc classification
H01S5/06808
ELECTRICITY
H01S5/06825
ELECTRICITY
H01S5/06812
ELECTRICITY
H01S5/02
ELECTRICITY
International classification
Abstract
A life prediction method for an optical module that keeps optical output constant by controlling a bias current that is applied to a laser diode includes, by a life prediction device: acquiring a current value of the bias current from the optical module; holding an initial bias current value that is an initial current value of the bias current; calculating the number of digits of a difference value between the bias current value and the initial bias current value, and determining whether there is an increase in the number of digits; calculating a time interval at which occurrence of the increase in the number of digits is detected; and estimating a life of the optical module using the time interval, a first threshold, and the number of digits.
Claims
1. A life prediction method for an optical module, the optical module being configured to keep optical output constant by controlling a bias current that is applied to a laser diode, the method comprising, by a life prediction device: acquiring, from the optical module, a bias current value that is a current value of the bias current; holding an initial bias current value that is an initial current value of the bias current; calculating a number of digits of a difference value between the bias current value and the initial bias current value, and determining whether there is an increase in the number of digits; calculating a time interval at which occurrence of the increase in the number of digits is detected; and estimating a life of the optical module using the time interval, a first threshold, and the number of digits.
2. The life prediction method for an optical module according to claim 1, wherein the life is a remaining life of the optical module.
3. The life prediction method for an optical module according to claim 2, comprising issuing an alarm when the remaining life is equal to or less than a second threshold set in advance.
4. The life prediction method for an optical module according to claim 1, wherein the life is an estimated deterioration time of the optical module, and in the estimating the life of the optical module, the estimated deterioration time is estimated using the time interval, the first threshold, the number of digits, and a time of calculation of the life.
5. The life prediction method for an optical module according to claim 1, comprising: calculating a maximum bias current value within a fixed cycle of the bias current values in each fixed cycle; and estimating an estimated deterioration time of the optical module based on the maximum bias current value and a time of detection of the maximum bias current value.
6. A life prediction method for an optical module, the optical module being configured to keep optical output constant by controlling a bias current that is applied to a laser diode, the method comprising, by a life prediction device: acquiring, from the optical module, a bias current value that is a current value of the bias current; holding an initial bias current value that is an initial current value of the bias current; calculating a maximum bias current value within a fixed cycle of the bias current values in each fixed cycle; and estimating an estimated deterioration time of the optical module based on the maximum bias current value and a time of detection of the maximum bias current value.
7. A life prediction device that predicts a life of an optical module, the optical module being configured to keep optical output constant by controlling a bias current that is applied to a laser diode, the life prediction device comprising: a memory; and a processor and/or a field programmable gate array configured to: acquire, from the optical module, a bias current value that is a current value of the bias current; hold an initial bias current value that is an initial current value of the bias current; calculate a number of digits of a difference value between the bias current value and the initial bias current value, and determine whether there is an increase in the number of digits; calculate a time interval at which occurrence of the increase in the number of digits is detected; and estimate the life of the optical module using the time interval, a first threshold, and the number of digits.
8. The life prediction device according to claim 7, wherein the life is a remaining life of the optical module.
9. The life prediction device according to claim 8, wherein an alarm is issued when the remaining life is equal to or less than a second threshold set in advance.
10. The life prediction device according to claim 7, wherein the life is an estimated deterioration time of the optical module, and the processor and/or a field programmable gate array estimates the estimated deterioration time using the time interval, the first threshold, the number of digits, and a time of calculation of the life.
11. The life prediction device according to claim 7, wherein the processor and/or a field programmable gate array estimates an estimated deterioration time of the optical module based on a maximum bias current value within a fixed cycle of the bias current values and a time of detection of the maximum bias current value in each fixed cycle.
12. A life prediction device that predicts a life of an optical module, the optical module being configured to keep optical output constant by controlling a bias current that is applied to a laser diode, the life prediction device comprising: a memory; and a processor and/or a field programmable gate array configured to: acquire, from the optical module, a bias current value that is a current value of the bias current; calculate a maximum bias current value within a fixed cycle of the bias current values in each fixed cycle; and estimate an estimated deterioration time of the optical module based on the maximum bias current value and a time of detection of the maximum bias current value.
Description
BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF THE DRAWINGS
[0008]
[0009]
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[0011]
[0012]
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[0015]
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[0017]
DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE PREFERRED EMBODIMENTS
[0018] Hereinafter, a life prediction method and a life prediction device for an optical module according to embodiments will be described in detail with reference to the drawings.
First Embodiment
[0019]
[0020] As illustrated in
[0021] The initial value holding unit 12 holds an initial bias current value which is a current value of the initial bias current, and outputs the held initial bias current value to the monitoring unit 13 and the life calculation unit 15. In a case where the life prediction device 1 is started after the optical module 2 is turned on, the initial bias current value is the first bias current value received from the bias current acquisition unit 11 after the life prediction device 1 is started. In a case where the optical module 2 is turned on after the life prediction device 1 is started, the initial bias current value is the first bias current value received from the bias current acquisition unit 11 after the optical module 2 is turned on. Note that the initial bias current value is not limited to the examples described above, and may be any bias current value at the start of the life calculation processing.
[0022] The monitoring unit 13 obtains a difference value that is the difference between the bias current value output from the bias current acquisition unit 11 and the initial bias current value output from the initial value holding unit 12. The monitoring unit 13 detects the occurrence of a carry (described later) by monitoring the number of digits of the obtained difference value, and when a carry occurs, notifies the time interval holding unit 14 of the occurrence. A carry means that the number of digits of a current value is greater than the number of digits of a previous value. That is, the monitoring unit 13 calculates the number of digits of the difference value between the bias current value and the initial bias current value, and determines whether there is an increase in the number of digits. When a carry occurs, the monitoring unit 13 notifies the life calculation unit 15 of the number of digits of the difference value. The time interval holding unit 14 holds a timer for measuring the time interval at which a carry occurs, and calculates and holds the time interval for carry occurrence using the held timer, based on the notification from the monitoring unit 13. The time interval holding unit 14 notifies the life calculation unit 15 of the time interval for carry occurrence. The life calculation unit 15 calculates the remaining life of the optical module 2 as the life of the optical module 2 using the time interval for carry occurrence, the number of digits of the difference value, the threshold of the bias current, and the initial bias current value. The threshold of the bias current is the threshold of the bias current for determining that the optical module 2 has deteriorated. When the bias current is equal to or greater than this threshold, it is determined that the optical module 2 has deteriorated, that is, the optical module 2 has reached the end of its life. Details of the processing in the life calculation unit 15 will be described later.
[0023] Next, a life prediction method for the optical module 2 by the life prediction device 1 of the present embodiment will be described.
[0024] The life prediction device 1 first configures initial settings (step S1). As initial settings, the bias current threshold is set in the life calculation unit 15, and the effective carry threshold N is set in the monitoring unit 13. The bias current threshold may be set by the life calculation unit 15 reading the bias current threshold stored in advance in the life prediction device 1, or may be input from outside after the life prediction device 1 is started. Similarly, the effective carry threshold N may be set by the monitoring unit 13 reading the effective carry threshold N stored in advance in the life prediction device 1, or may be input from outside after the life prediction device 1 is started. Although the present embodiment describes an example in which the bias current threshold is set, a difference value threshold corresponding to a value obtained by subtracting the initial bias current value from the bias current threshold may be set in the life prediction device 1. In this case, step S5 described later need not be performed.
[0025] The bias current acquisition unit 11 of the life prediction device 1 acquires a bias current value from the optical module 2 (step S2). The life prediction device 1 determines whether the acquired bias current value is the first bias current value acquired by the bias current acquisition unit 11. In the case of the first bias current value (step S3: Yes), the life prediction device 1 holds the acquired bias current value as the initial bias current value (step S4). Specifically, when the acquired bias current value is the first bias current value acquired by the bias current acquisition unit 11, the bias current acquisition unit 11 passes the acquired bias current value to the initial value holding unit 12, and the initial value holding unit 12 holds the bias current value received from the bias current acquisition unit 11 as the initial bias current value. Alternatively, the bias current acquisition unit 11 passes the bias current value to the initial value holding unit 12 regardless of the number of bias current values acquired so far, and the initial value holding unit 12 holds the first bias current value acquired from the bias current acquisition unit 11 as the initial bias current value. The initial value holding unit 12 passes the initial bias current value to the life calculation unit 15.
[0026] The life calculation unit 15 calculates and holds the difference value threshold D.sub.limit by subtracting the initial bias current value from the bias current threshold (step S5). The time interval holding unit 14 resets the timer for measuring the time interval at which a carry occurs (step S6). Specifically, for example, step S6 is executed when the monitoring unit 13 instructs the time interval holding unit 14 to reset the timer in response to receiving the first bias current value from the bias current acquisition unit 11 that passes acquired bias current values to the monitoring unit 13. After step S6, the processing returns to step S2. As described above, because bias current values are acquired periodically, step S2 is periodically performed, and step S3 and subsequent steps are performed each time step S2 is performed.
[0027] When it is determined in step S3 that the acquired bias current value is not the first bias current value acquired by the bias current acquisition unit 11 (step S3: No), the monitoring unit 13 calculates and holds the number of digits D.sub.i of the difference value (step S7) The monitoring unit 13 holds the number of digits D.sub.i at least until the next execution of step S7. Here, D.sub.i is the number of digits of the difference value calculated using the i-th bias current acquired, where i is an integer indicating the total number of executions of step S2 including the latest execution. Because step S7 is executed after No is selected in step S3, step S7 is executed when i is two or more. In step S7, specifically, the monitoring unit 13 obtains a difference value by subtracting the initial bias current value output from the initial value holding unit 12 from the bias current acquired from the bias current acquisition unit 11, and calculates the number of digits D.sub.i of the obtained difference value. By managing the bias current value, the initial bias current value, and the difference value in binary notation, the calculation of the number of digits D.sub.i and the carry monitoring (described later) by hardware are facilitated.
[0028] The monitoring unit 13 determines whether the number of digits D.sub.i calculated in step S7 is equal to the number of digits D.sub.i-1 calculated and held in the previous step S7 (step S8). Note that in the case of i=2, D.sub.i-1, that is, D.sub.1 has not been calculated. In the case of i=2, therefore, the monitoring unit 13 performs step S8 by assigning a preset value, e.g. zero, to D.sub.1. When the number of digits D.sub.i is equal to the number of digits D.sub.i-1 (step S8: Yes), the life prediction device 1 returns to step S2.
[0029] When the number of digits D.sub.i is not equal to the number of digits D.sub.i-1 (step S8: No), the life prediction device 1 holds the timer value of the timer for measuring the time interval at which a carry occurs, and then resets the timer (step S9). Specifically, when No is selected in step S8, the monitoring unit 13 determines that a carry has been detected, notifies the time interval holding unit 14 of the detection of the carry, and notifies the life calculation unit 15 of the number of digits D.sub.i. In response to being notified of the detection of the carry, the time interval holding unit 14 holds the timer value of the internal timer and resets the timer. Here, based on the premise that the bias current increases with the passage of time, it is determined that a carry has occurred when the number of digits D.sub.i is not equal to the number of digits D.sub.i-1. If there is any abnormality such as an abnormality in data received from the optical module 2, the number of digits may be reduced. In such a case, No is selected in step S11 (described later), and an abnormal state is detected.
[0030] The monitoring unit 13 determines whether the number of digits D.sub.i is equal to or greater than the effective carry threshold N (step S10). When the number of digits D.sub.i is less than the effective carry threshold N (step S10: No), the processing returns to step S2. When the number of digits D.sub.i is equal to or greater than the effective carry threshold N (step S10: Yes), the monitoring unit 13 determines whether the value obtained by subtracting the number of digits D.sub.i-1 from the number of digits D.sub.i is one (step S11). When the value obtained by subtracting the number of digits D.sub.i-1 from the number of digits D.sub.i is not one (step S11: No), the monitoring unit 13 determines that the processing is in an abnormal state (step S12), and ends the processing. When it is determined that the processing is in an abnormal state, the monitoring unit 13 may transmit or display information for notifying the user of the abnormality.
[0031] When the value obtained by subtracting the number of digits D.sub.i-1 from the number of digits D.sub.i is one (step S11: Yes), the monitoring unit 13 instructs the time interval holding unit 14 to hold the time interval T that is the time interval for carry, and the time interval holding unit 14 holds the timer value held in step S9 as the time interval T (step S13). Note that the time interval holding unit 14 does not need to update the time interval T when the timer value is the same as the held time interval T. Further, the time interval holding unit 14 may keep holding the timer value obtained at the time of carry detection for a certain period of time, and calculate and hold the time interval T by processing a plurality of held timer values. For example, the time interval holding unit 14 may calculate and hold the minimum value, average value, weighted average value, or the like of a plurality of held timer values as the time interval T. Alternatively, the time interval holding unit 14 may set the average value of the previous time interval T and the latest timer value as the time interval T. The time interval holding unit 14 outputs the held time interval T to the life calculation unit 15.
[0032] Next, the life calculation unit 15 calculates the remaining life of the optical module 2 using the difference value threshold D.sub.limit as a first threshold, the number of digits D.sub.i, and the time interval T (step S14). After step S14, the processing returns to step S2. In step S14, specifically, the life calculation unit 15 calculates the remaining life T.sub.L using Formula (1) below. The life calculation unit 15 may transmit information indicating the calculated remaining life T.sub.L to the outside.
T.sub.L=(D.sub.limitD.sub.i)T(1)
[0033] The life prediction method for the optical module 2 according to the present embodiment includes a first step of acquiring a current value of the bias current from the optical module 2, and a second step of holding an initial bias current value that is an initial current value of the bias current performed by the life prediction device 1. The life prediction method for the optical module 2 according to the present embodiment also includes, by the life prediction device 1, a third step of calculating the number of digits of a difference value between the bias current value and the initial bias current value, and determining whether there is an increase in the number of digits. The life prediction method for the optical module 2 according to the present embodiment further includes, by the life prediction device 1, a fourth step of calculating the time interval T that is a time interval at which occurrence of the increase in the number of digits is detected, and a fifth step of estimating a life of the optical module using the time interval T, a first threshold, and the number of digits.
[0034] The bias current of the optical module 2 changes exponentially with time. In an exponential function, the number of digits changes linearly. In the present embodiment, as described above, the life prediction device 1 approximates the bias current with an exponential function with respect to time, thereby estimating the remaining life of the optical module 2 based on the number of digits of the difference value between the bias current and the initial bias current and the carry time interval for the difference value. Consequently, the remaining life of the optical module 2 can be estimated accurately, as compared with the case where the remaining life is calculated by linear approximation between two times.
[0035] Further, as described above, when the number of digits D.sub.i of the difference value is less than the effective carry threshold N, the life is not configured to be calculated. Consequently, a carry that may be caused by fluctuation in bias current values can be reduced from being erroneously recognized as a carry caused by deterioration of the optical module 2. When the difference value of the bias current value from the initial bias current is small, a carry is likely to occur due to fluctuation. Therefore, when the number of digits D.sub.i of the difference value is less than the effective carry threshold N, the life is not calculated, whereby a carry caused by fluctuation can be reduced from being erroneously recognized as a carry caused by deterioration.
Second Embodiment
[0036]
[0037] The time counter unit 17 outputs time information indicating the current time to the time interval holding unit 14a. In response to being notified of the detection of a carry by the monitoring unit 13, the time interval holding unit 14a holds the time of the notification of the carry detection based on the time information output from the time counter unit 17. In response to being notified of the detection of a carry by the monitoring unit 13, the time interval holding unit 14a also calculates and holds a time difference value, i.e. the difference value between the time of the notification of the carry detection and the time previously held, based on the time information output from the time counter unit 17. The time interval holding unit 14a also calculates and holds the time interval T using the held time difference value. The time interval holding unit 14a may set the latest difference value as the time interval T, or set the minimum value, average value, weighted average value, or the like of a plurality of held time difference values within a certain period of time as the time interval T. Alternatively, the time interval holding unit 14a may set the average value of the previous time interval T and the latest difference value as the time interval T.
[0038] The deterioration time estimation unit 16 calculates and holds the difference value threshold D.sub.limit which is the threshold of the difference value between the bias current threshold, and the initial bias current value held by the initial value holding unit 12. As in the first embodiment, the bias current threshold may be set in advance in the life prediction device 1a, or may be set externally after the life prediction device 1a is started. Alternatively, the difference value threshold D.sub.limit may be set in the deterioration time estimation unit 16 instead of the bias current threshold.
[0039] The deterioration time estimation unit 16 estimates the estimated deterioration time of the optical module 2 as the life of the optical module 2 using the number of digits D.sub.i of the difference value calculated by the monitoring unit 13, the time interval T held by the time interval holding unit 14a, and the time information output from the time counter unit 17.
[0040] Next, a life prediction method for the optical module 2 by the life prediction device 1a of the present embodiment will be described.
[0041] First, the life prediction device 1a configures initial settings (step S1a). As initial settings, the bias current threshold is set in the deterioration time estimation unit 16, the effective carry threshold N is set in the monitoring unit 13, and the current time is set in the time counter unit 17.
[0042] Steps S2 to S5 are the same as those in the first embodiment. In the present embodiment, the data passed from each unit to the life calculation unit 15 in the first embodiment are passed to the deterioration time estimation unit 16 instead of the life calculation unit 15. Step S5 is performed by the deterioration time estimation unit 16 instead of the life calculation unit 15. After step S5, the time interval holding unit 14a holds the current time based on the time information acquired from the time counter unit 17 (step S21). After step S21, the processing returns to step S2.
[0043] When No is selected in step S3, steps S7 and S8 are performed as in the first embodiment. When No is selected in step S8, the time interval holding unit 14a holds the time, that is, the current time, based on the time information acquired from the time counter unit 17, and calculates and holds a time difference value, namely the difference value between the current time and the time previously held (step S9a). After step S9a, steps S10 and S11 are performed as in the first embodiment. Step S12 is also the same as that in the first embodiment.
[0044] When the value obtained by subtracting the number of digits D.sub.i-1 from the number of digits D.sub.i is one (step S11: Yes), the monitoring unit 13 instructs the time interval holding unit 14a to hold the time interval T that is the time interval for carry, and the time interval holding unit 14a holds the time difference value held in step S9a as the time interval T (step S13a). In the same manner as the time interval holding unit 14 of the first embodiment, the time interval holding unit 14a may hold the latest time difference value as the time interval T, or may hold a plurality of time difference values to calculate the time interval T from these time difference values or set the average value of these time difference values and the latest time difference value as the time interval T.
[0045] The deterioration time estimation unit 16 calculates the estimated deterioration time T.sub.T as the life of the optical module 2 using the difference value threshold D.sub.limit, the number of digits D.sub.i, the time interval T, and the time t that is the time of the calculation of the life, namely the time indicated by the time information output from the time counter unit 17 (step S14a). After step S14a, the processing returns to step S2. In step S14a, specifically, the deterioration time estimation unit 16 calculates the estimated deterioration time T.sub.T of the optical module 2 using Formula (2) below.
T.sub.T=t+(D.sub.limitD.sub.i)T(2)
[0046] As described above, in the present embodiment, as in the first embodiment, the bias current is approximated with an exponential function with respect to time, whereby the estimated deterioration time of the optical module 2 is estimated based on the number of digits of the difference value between the bias current and the initial bias current and the carry time interval for the difference value. Consequently, the estimated deterioration time of the optical module 2 can be estimated accurately, as compared with the case where the estimated deterioration time is calculated by linear approximation between two times. In addition, the estimated deterioration time of the optical module 2 is obtained by providing the time counter unit 17, which is especially effective when the life prediction device 1a cannot provide notification of a calculated value to the outside in real time.
Third Embodiment
[0047]
[0048] The alarm issuing unit 18 has a function as the life calculation unit 15 of the first embodiment and also has the alarm issuing function described below. That is, the function of the alarm issuing unit 18 corresponding to the life calculation unit 15 is the same as that in the first embodiment.
[0049] The alarm issuing unit 18 calculates the remaining life T.sub.L using Formula (1) above as described in the first embodiment, and when the remaining life T.sub.L is equal to or less than a preset threshold that is a second threshold, issues an alarm. An alarm may be issued, for example, by displaying an indication that the remaining life T.sub.L is equal to or less than the threshold on a display unit (not illustrated), or by transmitting information indicating that the remaining life T.sub.L is equal to or less than the threshold to an external device (not illustrated) through communication. The threshold about the remaining life T.sub.L can be, for example, the maintenance cycle for the optical module 2. Alternatively, a plurality of such thresholds having different values may be set, and the alarm issuing unit 18 may indicate the extent of the remaining life T.sub.L using the plurality of thresholds. For example, three thresholds A.sub.1, A.sub.2, and A.sub.3 that satisfy A.sub.1<A.sub.2<A.sub.3 (A.sub.1, A.sub.2, and A.sub.3 are positive real numbers) are set for classifying the remaining life T.sub.L as the first level equal to or less than A.sub.3 and greater than A.sub.2, the second level equal to or less than A.sub.2 and greater than A.sub.1, or the third level equal to or less than A.sub.1. The alarm issuing unit 18 can provide the extent of the remaining life T.sub.L to the outside by issuing information indicating which of the first, second, and third levels the remaining life T.sub.L is at.
[0050] As described above, the alarm issuing unit 18 issues an alarm when the remaining life T.sub.L is equal to or less than the threshold. Therefore, the amount of information transmitted to the outside can be reduced, as compared with the case where information indicating the remaining life T.sub.L is transmitted to the outside every time the remaining life T.sub.L is calculated.
[0051] Next, hardware configurations of the life prediction devices described in the first to third embodiments will be described.
[0052]
Fourth Embodiment
[0053]
[0054] The monitoring unit 13b performs detection of the maximum value of the bias current output from the bias current acquisition unit 11 within a fixed cycle, in addition to detection of a carry, notification of the carry detection, and notification of the number of digits as described in the second embodiment. That is, the monitoring unit 13b calculates the maximum bias current value within a fixed cycle of bias current values in each fixed cycle. The monitoring unit 13b also notifies the time interval holding unit 14b of the detection of the maximum bias current value, and notifies the deterioration time estimation unit 16b of the maximum bias current value. Note that the monitoring unit 13b compares, for example, the first bias current value and the second bias current value detected within a fixed cycle, and notifies the time interval holding unit 14b of the larger one as the temporary maximum value. The time interval holding unit 14b temporarily holds the time of the notification of the maximum value based on the time information output from the time counter unit 17b. Thereafter, the monitoring unit 13b sequentially compares the next bias current value detected and the current maximum value within the fixed cycle, and when the detected bias current value is larger, notifies the time interval holding unit 14b of the detection of the maximum value. Then, when the one fixed cycle ends, the monitoring unit 13b notifies the time interval holding unit 14b of the end of the fixed cycle. Consequently, the time interval holding unit 14b determines the detection time of the maximum value in this fixed cycle. Note that the method of calculating the maximum value detection time in a fixed cycle is not limited to the above-described example.
[0055] The time counter unit 17b outputs time information indicating the current time to the time interval holding unit 14b. In response to being notified of the detection of a carry by the monitoring unit 13b, the time interval holding unit 14b holds the time of the notification of the carry detection based on the time information output from the time counter unit 17b. In response to being notified of the detection of a carry by the monitoring unit 13b, the time interval holding unit 14b also calculates and holds the time interval T using a time difference value, namely the difference value between the time of the notification of the carry detection and the carry time previously held, based on the time information output from the time counter unit 17b. The time interval holding unit 14b also calculates and holds the time interval T using the held time difference value. The time interval holding unit 14b may hold the latest difference value as the time interval T, or may store a plurality of time difference values within a fixed period of time to hold the minimum value, average value, weighted average value, or the like of the plurality of stored time difference values as the time interval T. The time interval holding unit 14b may hold the average value of the previous time interval T and the latest difference value as the time interval T.
[0056] When being notified of the detection of a maximum bias current value by the monitoring unit 13b, the time interval holding unit 14b also holds the time of the notification of the maximum bias current value detection based on the time information output from the time counter unit 17b. The time interval holding unit 14b also outputs, in each fixed cycle, the time of the notification of the maximum bias current value detection to the deterioration time estimation unit 16b as the maximum value detection time. As described above, the monitoring unit 13b detects the maximum bias current value in a fixed cycle, so the time interval holding unit 14b can obtain one maximum value detection time per fixed cycle from the monitoring unit 13b.
[0057] The deterioration time estimation unit 16b calculates and holds the difference value threshold D.sub.limit which is the threshold of the difference value between the bias current threshold and the initial bias current value held by the initial value holding unit 12. As in the second embodiment, the bias current threshold may be set in advance in the life prediction device 1c, or may be set externally after the life prediction device 1c is started. Alternatively, the difference value threshold D.sub.limit may be set in the deterioration time estimation unit 16b instead of the bias current threshold.
[0058] The deterioration time estimation unit 16b estimates the first estimated deterioration time T.sub.T1 of the optical module 2 as the life of the optical module 2 using the number of digits D.sub.i of the difference value calculated by the monitoring unit 13b, the time interval T held by the time interval holding unit 14b, and the time information output from the time counter unit 17b. The method of calculating the first estimated deterioration time T.sub.T1 is the same as the method of calculating the estimated deterioration time described in the second embodiment.
[0059] The deterioration time estimation unit 16b also estimates the estimated deterioration time of the optical module 2 based on the maximum bias current value within a fixed cycle of bias current values and the time of the detection of the maximum bias current value. Specifically, using the maximum bias current value provided by the monitoring unit 13b and the maximum value detection time output from the time interval holding unit 14b, the deterioration time estimation unit 16b calculates a life prediction function F(T) that is based on the temperature characteristics of the laser caused by temperature changes on a daily basis or a seasonal basis.
[0060] The deterioration time estimation unit 16b estimates the second estimated deterioration time T.sub.T2 of the optical module 2 using the calculated life prediction function F(T) that is based on the temperature characteristics of the laser and the bias current threshold. Specifically, the deterioration time estimation unit 16b obtains the time at which the value of the life prediction function F(T) that is based on the temperature characteristics of the laser is equal to the bias current threshold, and sets the obtained time as the second estimated deterioration time T.sub.T2.
[0061] Next, a life prediction method for the optical module 2 by the life prediction device 1c of the present embodiment will be described.
[0062] First, the life prediction device 1c configures initial settings (step S1a). As initial settings, the bias current threshold is set in the deterioration time estimation unit 16b, the effective carry threshold N is set in the monitoring unit 13b, and the current time is set in the time counter unit 17b.
[0063] Steps S2 to S5 are the same as those in the second embodiment. In the present embodiment, the data passed from each unit to the deterioration time estimation unit 16 in the second embodiment are passed to the deterioration time estimation unit 16b instead of the deterioration time estimation unit 16. Step S5 is performed by the deterioration time estimation unit 16b instead of the deterioration time estimation unit 16. After step S5, the time interval holding unit 14b holds the current time based on the time information acquired from the time counter unit 17b (step S21). After step S21, the processing returns to step S2.
[0064] When No is selected in step S3, steps S7 and S8 are performed as in the second embodiment. When No is selected in step S8, the time interval holding unit 14b holds the time, that is, the current time, based on the time information acquired from the time counter unit 17b, and calculates and holds a time difference value, namely the difference value between the current time and the time previously held (step S9a). After step S9a, steps S10 and S11 are performed as in the second embodiment. Step S12 is also the same as that in the second embodiment.
[0065] When the value obtained by subtracting the number of digits D.sub.i-1 from the number of digits D.sub.i is one (step S11: Yes), the monitoring unit 13b instructs the time interval holding unit 14b to hold the time interval T that is the time interval for carry, and the time interval holding unit 14b holds the time difference value held in step S9a as the time interval T (step S13a). In the same manner as the time interval holding unit 14a of the second embodiment, the time interval holding unit 14b may hold the latest time difference value as the time interval T, or may hold a plurality of time difference values to calculate the time interval T from these time difference values or set the average value of these time difference values and the latest time difference value as the time interval T.
[0066] The deterioration time estimation unit 16b calculates the first estimated deterioration time T.sub.T1 as the life of the optical module 2 using the difference value threshold D.sub.limit, the number of digits D.sub.i, the time interval T, and the time t that is the time of the calculation of the life, namely the time indicated by the time information output from the time counter unit 17b (step S14a). After step S14a, the processing returns to step S2. In step S14a, specifically, the deterioration time estimation unit 16b calculates the first estimated deterioration time T.sub.T1 of the optical module 2 using Formula (3) below.
T.sub.T1=t+(D.sub.limitD.sub.i)T(3)
[0067] After step S2, step S22 is performed in parallel with step S3. Step S22 is the process in which the monitoring unit 13b calculates the maximum bias current value within a fixed cycle output from the bias current acquisition unit 11. After step S22, step S23 is performed.
[0068] In step S23, the time interval holding unit 14b holds the time, that is, the time of the calculation of the maximum value, based on the time information acquired from the time counter unit 17b. The maximum bias current value calculated by the monitoring unit 13b is provided to the deterioration time estimation unit 16b. After step S23, step S24 is performed.
[0069] In step S24, the deterioration time estimation unit 16b calculates the life prediction function F(T) that is based on the temperature characteristics of the laser using the maximum bias current value provided by the monitoring unit 13b and the time information of the notification of the maximum bias current value detection output from the time interval holding unit 14b. After step S24, step S25 is performed.
[0070] In step S25, the deterioration time estimation unit 16b calculates the second estimated deterioration time T.sub.T2 of the optical module 2 using the life prediction function F(T) that is based on the temperature characteristics of the laser calculated in step S24 and the bias current threshold set in step S1a.
[0071] In the above example, after step S2, the life prediction device 1c performs both the process that starts at step S3, that is, the process similar to that in the second embodiment, and the process of steps S22 to S25. Alternatively, only the process of steps S22 to S25 may be performed after step S2. As described above, the life prediction method for an optical module according to the present embodiment includes a step of calculating a maximum bias current value within a fixed cycle of the bias current values in each fixed cycle, and a step of estimating an estimated deterioration time of the optical module based on the maximum bias current value and a time of detection of the maximum bias current value.
[0072] As described above, in the present embodiment, as in the second embodiment, the bias current is approximated with an exponential function with respect to time, whereby the estimated deterioration time of the optical module 2 is estimated based on the number of digits of the difference value between the bias current and the initial bias current and the carry time interval for the difference value. Consequently, the estimated deterioration time of the optical module 2 can be estimated accurately, as compared with the case where the estimated deterioration time is calculated by linear approximation between two times. In addition, the estimated deterioration time of the optical module 2 is obtained by providing the time counter unit 17b, which is especially effective when the life prediction device 1c cannot provide notification of a calculated value to the outside in real time. Further, the life prediction function F(T) that is based on the temperature characteristics of the laser is calculated on the basis of the maximum bias current value and the time information of the notification of the maximum bias current value detection, and the estimated deterioration time of the optical module 2 is estimated on the basis of the life prediction function F(T) that is based on the temperature characteristics of the laser and the bias current threshold. Consequently, the estimated deterioration time can be calculated in consideration of the temperature characteristics of the laser.
[0073] The configurations described in the above-mentioned embodiments indicate examples. The configurations can be combined with another well-known technique, and some of the configurations can be omitted or changed in a range not departing from the gist.
[0074] The present disclosure can achieve the effect of predicting the life of the optical module quickly and accurately.