METHOD FOR PREDICTING THE RESTART OF PARAFFINIC OIL FLOW

Abstract

The present invention relates to a method for predicting the restart of paraffinic oil flow by being able to estimate the precipitated paraffin fraction under conditions of production stoppage through differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) tests and rheological evaluation, to predict the yield stress (TLE) profiles in pipes containing gelled paraffinic petroleum and the time interval until line blockage formation (available waiting timeTED).

Claims

1. A method for predicting restart of paraffinic oil, comprising determining yield stress (TLE) through parameters of differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) tests and rheological evaluation of precipitated paraffin fraction under production stoppage conditions.

2. The method of claim 1 further comprising determining heat flow corresponding to phase transition of paraffins through differential scanning calorimetry tests.

3. The method of claim 1, wherein carrying out the rheological evaluation comprises conducting oscillatory stress amplitude scanning tests in rheometers at specified temperatures below gelling temperature in conjunction with differential scanning calorimetry tests.

4. The method of claim 1, wherein obtaining an estimate of the precipitated paraffin fraction is conducted according to Equations 1 to 5: d ? PS dT = k ( ? 0 - ? PS ) , ? PS ( T initial ) = 0 ( Eq . 1 ) ? = ? h c q d ? PS dT , ? ( 0 ) = 0 ( Eq . 2 ) T = - qt + T initial ( Eq . 3 ) k = k AT k AR k AT + k AR ( Eq . 4 ) k AT = A AT exp [ - E AT R ( T initial - T ) ] ( Eq . 5 ) wherein ?.sub.PS is the precipitated paraffin fraction and e represents heat flow corresponding to phase transition of paraffins; wherein ?h.sub.c is an average value of enthalpy of pure paraffin corresponding to 200 J/g, q is cooling rate applied in the differential scanning calorimetry experiment, R is gas universal constant, T is temperature, t is time and ?.sub.0, A.sub.AT, E.sub.AT and k.sub.AR are parameters to be determined through an adjustment of heat flow data from differential scanning calorimetry tests.

5. The method of claim 4, comprising adjusting paraffin fraction data with rheological data, according to Equation 6: ? c = C ? ? PS A , A = 2 3 - D ( Eq . 6 ) wherein (C.sub.?) is a proportionality factor and (D) is a structure factor or fractal dimension.

6. The method of claim 5, wherein equations 1 to 6 are incorporated into flow assurance and computational fluid dynamics simulators for the prediction of stress fields and production stoppage time.

7. The method of claim 5, further comprising determining cooling of a piping section through the following Equations 7 to 18: Energy balance: ? C p ? T ? t = 1 r ? ? r ( rk eff dT dr ) + ? ? h c R ? ( Eq . 7 ) t = 0 ? T ( 0 , r ) = T 0 , ? r ( Eq . 8 ) r = 0 ? ? T ? r ( t , 0 ) = 0 , ? t ( Eq . 9 ) r = r 0 ? - k eff ? T ? r ( t , r 0 ) = U ( T ( t , r 0 ) - T ? ) , ? t ( Eq . 10 ) wherein T is the temperature, t is the time, ? is mixture density, C.sub.p is heat capacity of a mixture, R.sub.? is a source term corresponding to a kinetic model, r is a radial variable, k.sub.eff is a thermal conductivity of the mixture, U is a heat exchange global coefficient, T.sub.? is a sea temperature and T.sub.0 is an initial temperature of a fluid; ? ? PL ? t = 1 r ? ? r ( rD iff ? ? PL ? r ) - R ? ( Eq . 11 ) t = 0 ? ? PL ( 0 , r ) = ? PL , 0 , ? r ( Eq . 12 ) r = 0 ? ? ? PL ? r ( t , 0 ) = 0 , ? t ( Eq . 13 ) r = r 0 ? ? ? PL ? r ( t , r 0 ) = 0 , ? t ( Eq . 14 ) wherein (?.sub.PL) corresponds to the balance of paraffin in a liquid phase, in which D.sub.iff is a mass diffusivity of paraffin in the liquid phase and ?.sub.PL,0 is an initial fraction of paraffin in the liquid phase; and ? ? PS ? t = R ? ( Eq . 15 ) t = 0 ? ? PS ( t , r ) = 0 ? r ( Eq . 16 ) T ? TIAC ? R ? = 0 ( Eq . 17 ) T < TIAC ? R ? = ( - ? T ? t ) k ( T ) ( ? PL - ? * ( T ) ) ( Eq . 18 ) wherein (?.sub.PS) represents the balance of precipitated paraffin, in which TIAC is the initial temperature at which crystals appear.

8. The method of claim 7, wherein a temperature profile, the paraffin fractions in solid and liquid phases, and the cooling rate were simulated in a period from zero to 14 days of quiescent cooling, for different heat exchange global coefficients.

9. The method of claim 8, wherein average yield stress profiles for oils with different precipitated paraffin fractions and variation of critical stress were obtained along a straight transverse section of a tube.

10. The method of claim 9, wherein kinetic behavior of samples, obtained through differential exploratory calorimetry and rheological behavior data, was evaluated by simulations of paraffinic oil production stoppages in an underwater pipeline.

Description

BRIEF DESCRIPTION OF FIGURES

[0020] The present invention will be described below, with reference to the attached figures which, in a schematic way and not limiting the inventive scope, represent examples of implementation thereof.

[0021] FIG. 1 illustrates the representation of the pipe cross section, as shown in FIG. 1 published in Mendes et al. [7].

[0022] FIG. 2 illustrates the radial profiles of temperature (graph a), liquid paraffin fraction (graph b), crystallized paraffin fraction (graph c) and cooling rate for a crude paraffinic oil in a pipe, with a thermal exchange coefficient of U=1 W/m.sup.2K (graph d), as a function of time.

[0023] FIG. 3 illustrates the evolution of the average properties of the oil referred to in FIG. 2, in quiescent cooling, through the crystallized paraffin fraction (graph a), liquid paraffin fraction (graph b), average temperature profiles (graph c) and cooling rate for thermal exchange coefficients between 0.5 to 2 W/(m.sup.2K) (graph d) as a function of time.

[0024] FIG. 4 illustrates radial yield stress profiles in the tube (U=1 Wm.sup.2/K) as a function of paraffin content and time.

[0025] FIG. 5 illustrates average yield stress profiles in the tube for different heat exchange coefficients.

DETAILED DESCRIPTION OF THE INVENTION

[0026] The present invention relates to a method for predicting the restart of paraffinic oil flow capable of determining the yield stress (TLE) through the parameters of differential scanning calorimetry (DSC) tests and rheological evaluation of precipitated paraffin fraction under production stoppage conditions. Therefore, the invention is capable of estimating the yield stress (TLE) value appropriately and the time interval until the formation of the line blockage (i.e., the available waiting time), so as to guarantee the supply of accurate information on the operational conditions for restarting production of paraffinic oil production fields.

[0027] This estimate is made through equations 1 to 5, which reproduce the heat flow data (?) corresponding to the phase transition of paraffins obtained by calorimetric analysis and obtaining the precipitated paraffin fraction (?.sub.PS).

[00001] d ? PS dT = k ( ? 0 - ? PS ) , ? PS ( T inicial ) = 0 ( Eq . 1 ) ? = ? h c q d ? PS dT , ? ( 0 ) = 0 ( Eq . 2 ) T = - qt + T inicial ( Eq . 3 ) k = k AT k AR k AT + k AR ( Eq . 4 ) k AT = A AT exp [ - E AT R ( T inicial - T ) ] ( Eq . 5 )

[0028] Equation 1 represents the balance of precipitated paraffin fraction (?.sub.PS) as a function of temperature (T), which depends on a proportionality constant (k), the paraffin fraction in the oil (?.sub.0) and an initial condition (?.sub.PS(T.sub.inicial)=0).

[0029] Equation 2 represents the latent heat balance (?) released by the sample during crystallization, which depends on the crystallization enthalpy of pure paraffin (?h.sub.c=200 J/g), the cooling rate (q=?dT/dt) and an initial condition (? (0)=0).

[0030] Equation 3 describes the linear temperature dynamics for cooling in DSC obeying the cooling rate imposed in the experiment (0.4 to 1.2? C./min), while Equations 4 and 5 describe the proportionality constant (k). This constant, in its turn, depends on a coefficient (k.sub.AR) and an activation function (k.sub.AT).

[0031] Regarding the values of the parameters used, the initial temperature (T.sub.initial) was determined as the Initial Crystal Appearance Temperature (TIAC) plus three (T.sub.initial=TIAC+3), obtained by calorimetry tests.

[0032] The other parameters, namely, k.sub.AR, A.sub.AT, E.sub.AT/R and ?.sub.0 were determined by the parameter estimation procedure adopted. In this procedure, based on data on time or temperature, heat flow and cooling rate, data on the fraction of precipitated paraffin are obtained indirectly, from Equation 1.

[0033] The estimation of the kinetic parameters, used in Equations 1 to 5, can be carried out using any commercial software or programming language, which allows the resolution of an algebraic-differential model and the application of an optimization method to minimize the square minimum function. Some examples include Matlab, FORTRAN, and Python languages.

[0034] To predict the yield stress (TLE) in pipes, a rheological assessment is carried out based on oscillatory stress amplitude scanning tests in rheometers for temperatures below the gelling temperature, as described in the works of Guimar?es [13] and Marinho [14], in conjunction with differential scanning calorimetry tests. Then, a stress model based on the scaling theory of Shih et al. [11] is applied to adjust the precipitated paraffin fraction data, previously obtained in equations 1 to 5, with the rheological data, according to Equation 6. This model has two parameters to be adjusted, a proportionality factor (C.sub.?) and a structure factor, called fractal dimension (D):

[00002] ? c = C ? ? PS A , A = 2 3 - D ( Eq . 6 )

[0035] Finally, the equations 2 can be incorporated into flow assurance and/or computational fluid dynamics simulators to predict stress profiles and available waiting time and define the conditions for restarting production in prolonged stoppage conditions. In general, the Marlim Transiente simulator, developed by Petrobras, can be used. However, other commercial flow simulators well known in the art can also be used.

[0036] Regarding the estimation of the parameters, in the present case, the non-commercial software called ESTIMA was used, in the FORTRAN programming language, developed in the Chemical Engineering Program at the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro. In this sense, it is noteworthy that time or temperature and heat flow data are provided to the estimator, and as a result of the optimization procedure, the model parameters are determined, whose suitability to the data can be evaluated by statistical parameters such as the determination coefficient R.sup.2.

[0037] Furthermore, the equation corresponding to the cooling of a pipe section is described in Equations 7 to 18.

[0038] Energy Balance:

[00003] ? C p ? T ? t = 1 r ? ? r ( rk eff dT dr ) + ? ? h c R ? ( Eq . 7 ) t = 0 ? T ( 0 , r ) = T 0 , ? r ( Eq . 8 ) r = 0 ? ? T ? r ( t , 0 ) = 0 , ? t ( Eq . 9 ) r = r 0 ? - k eff ? T ? r ( t , r 0 ) = U ( T ( t , r 0 ) - T ? ) , ? t ( Eq . 10 )

in which, T is the temperature, t is the time, ? is the mixture density, C.sub.p is the heat capacity of the mixture, R.sub.? is the source term corresponding to the kinetic model, r is the radial component, k.sub.eff is the thermal conductivity of the mixture, U is the heat exchange global coefficient, T.sub.? is the seabed temperature and T.sub.0 is the initial temperature of the fluid.

[0039] In equations 11 to 14 there is the balance of paraffin in the liquid phase (?.sub.PL), in which D.sub.iff is the mass diffusivity of paraffin in the liquid phase and ?.sub.PL,0 is the initial fraction of paraffin in the liquid phase.

[00004] ? ? PL ? t = 1 r ? ? r ( rD iff ? ? PL ? r ) - R ? ( Eq . 11 ) t = 0 ? ? PL ( 0 , r ) = ? PL , 0 , ? r ( Eq . 12 ) r = 0 ? ? ? PL ? r ( t , 0 ) = 0 , ? t ( Eq . 13 ) r = r 0 ? ? ? PL ? r ( t , r 0 ) = 0 , ? t ( Eq . 14 )

[0040] In equations 15 to 18, there are the precipitated paraffin balance (?.sub.PS):

[00005] ? ? PS ? t = R ? ( Eq . 15 ) t = 0 ? ? PS ( t , r ) = 0 ? r ( Eq . 16 ) T ? T inicial ? R ? = 0 ( Eq . 17 ) T < T inicial ? R ? = ( - ? T ? t ) k ( T ) ( ? PL - ? * ( T ) ) ( Eq . 18 )

Example of Implementation/Tests/Results

[0041] In general, based on differential scanning calorimetry data and rheological behavior, the kinetic behavior of the studied samples was evaluated by simulations of paraffinic oil production stoppages in a pipeline. The temperature profile, the paraffin fractions in the solid (crystallized) and liquid phases and the cooling rate were simulated in the period from zero to 14 days of quiescent cooling, for different heat exchange global coefficients (FIG. 2). Furthermore, the average yield stress profiles for oils with different precipitated paraffin fractions and the variation of the critical stress along the straight cross-section of the tube were obtained (FIG. 3).

[0042] Based on the profiles obtained in FIG. 3, it is observed that the speed of evolution of these profiles depends on the characteristics of the tube, the type of thermal insulation and also the external cooling conditions, which are incorporated into the simulation through the thermal exchange global coefficient U. Another relevant characteristic of these profiles is that most of the crystallization occurs in the first days of cooling, which after this stage slowly evolves to a constant level of precipitated fraction. FIGS. 4 and 5 show the consequence of the evolution of the paraffin profile precipitated in the TLE, which can be calculated for field application purposes, as the average of the stress radial profile. The characteristics of these average profiles are similar to the precipitated paraffin profile, which grows rapidly in the first days of cooling and tends to a plateau, which is a function of the amount of paraffin present in the oil. The main characteristic of stress radial profiles is that they evolve from the wall to the center of the tube, with TLE variability in the cross section during cooling.

Simulation Description

[0043] The method proposed through equations 1 to 6 was applied in simulations of paraffinic oil production stoppages in the cross section of a pipeline, under the assumption of quiescent cooling. For this, an initial temperature of 60? C., a radius of 6 inches and an external seabed temperature of 4? C. were assumed, as shown in FIG. 1, where T(0,r)=Initial temperature, r.sub.0=Radius of the tube, h=convection coefficient and T.sub.?=External seabed temperature.

[0044] The model for this simulation consists of the mass balance of crystallized paraffin fraction (?.sub.PS), the mass balance of liquid paraffin fraction ((P.sub.PL) and the energy balance in the section, represented by temperature (T).

[0045] Firstly, the kinetic model was adapted to the cooling problem in the section, according to Equations 7 to 10, in which R.sub.? is the crystallization rate, t is the cooling time and r is the radial coordinate.

[00006] ? ? PS ? t = R ? ( Eq . 7 ) t = 0 ? ? PS ( t , r ) = 0 ? r ( Eq . 8 ) T ? T inicial ? R ? = 0 ( Eq . 9 ) T < T inicial ? R ? = ( - ? T ? t ) k ( T ) ? PL ( Eq . 10 )

[0046] To describe the heat transfer in the tube section, a transient energy balance was adopted considering the radial dispersion of heat with the pipe, subject to a heat exchange global coefficient, according to Equations 11 to 14. In this balance, ? represents the oil density, C.sub.p the heat capacity, k.sub.eff the thermal conductivity, t is the time, r is the radial coordinate, T.sub.? the temperature outside the tube, U the heat exchange global coefficient and r.sub.0 the radius of the tube:

[00007] ? C p ? T ? t = 1 r ? ? r ( rk eff dT dr ) + ? ? ( Eq . 11 ) t = 0 ? T ( 0 , r ) = T 0 , ? r ( Eq . 12 ) r = 0 ? ? T ? r ( t , 0 ) = 0 , ? t ( Eq . 13 ) r = r 0 ? - k eff ? T ? r ( t , r 0 ) = U ( T ( t , r 0 ) - T ? ) , ? t ( Eq . 14 )

[0047] For industrial application purposes, the U coefficient can be explained in terms of the characteristics of the tube, namely the thickness and conductivity of the wall and the insulating material and the external convection coefficient.

[0048] Finally, the mass balance for the liquid paraffin fraction, also with radial dispersion, was coupled to the model. As hypotheses, the absence of mass flow in the tube wall was adopted and that the proposed kinetic model acts as a source term, removing the crystallized paraffin fraction from the liquid phase. Equations 15 to 18 represent the model, in which ?.sub.PL is the liquid paraffin fraction and D.sub.iff is the diffusivity of paraffin in the oil.

[00008] ? ? PL ? t = 1 r ? ? r ( rD iff ? ? PL ? r ) - R ? ( Eq . 15 ) t = 0 ? ? PL ( 0 , r ) = ? PL , 0 , ? r ( Eq . 16 ) r = 0 ? ? ? PL ? r ( t , 0 ) = 0 , ? t ( Eq . 17 ) r = r 0 ? ? ? PL ? r ( t , r 0 ) = 0 , ? t ( Eq . 18 )

[0049] To solve these equations, the diffusive terms were discretized using the finite volume method and the resulting differential equations were integrated over time to obtain the temporal profiles. It is important to highlight that the proposed simulation can, without loss of validity, be carried out in commercial flow simulators, adding the kinetic model as a source term for the mass balance and applying rheological models to calculate the flow stress profiles as a post-processing step.

List of Parameters Used in the Simulation

[0050] The parameters used in the simulations, obtained with the parameter estimation procedure from rheological and calorimetry data, are in Table 1.

TABLE-US-00001 TABLE 1 Parameters obtained for the proposed model Parameter Value obtained in the estimate k.sub.AR (1/K) 0.028 A.sub.AT (1/K) 3.51 E.sub.AT/R (K) 21.54 ?.sub.0 () 0.0777 C.sub.? (Pa) 1.60 D () 2.37

[0051] The other parameters used represent typical values for the properties of paraffinic oils indicated in Mendes et al. [7] and Mehrotra et al. [15], according to Table 2.

TABLE-US-00002 TABLE 2 Other parameters used in the simulation Parameter Value obtained in the estimate k.sub.eff (W/m/K) 0.17 C.sub.p (J/kg/K) 2100 ? (kg/m.sup.3) 800 D.sub.iff() 1 ? 10.sup.?10 T.sub.0 (? C.) 60 r.sub.0 (pol) 6 T.sub.inicial (? C.) 26.1

Demonstration of Results for the Simulation in the Tube

[0052] As the first result of the proposed simulations, the radial profiles of temperature, paraffin fraction in the liquid phase, solid/crystallized paraffin fraction and cooling rate over 14 days of cooling for a crude sample supplied by Petrobras are presented in FIG. 2. Furthermore, to obtain these results, a heat exchange global coefficient of 1 W/(m.sup.2K) was used. Initially, it is observed that the temperature profiles gradually decrease from the beginning of the simulation, however the paraffin profiles in the liquid and crystallized phases only show some dynamics after the temperature reaches the initial temperature at which the crystals appear. From this point onwards, a reduction in the paraffin fraction in the liquid phase and an increase in the crystallized paraffin fraction are observed due to the phase change of the material. It is also possible to observe cooling rate values in the order of 0.01? C./min, which corroborates the values found in field situations (Zougari and Sopkow [8]).

[0053] From the radial profiles, the average profiles in the section are calculated over time, as shown in FIG. 3. The results corroborate previous observations that the paraffin fraction profiles only evolve after the temperature reaches the temperature at which the crystals appear. However, the profiles presented also show the effect of the exchange global coefficient on the cooling and crystallization speed of the paraffins. It is observed that for an exchange coefficient of 2 W/(m.sup.2K), the section reaches an external temperature value of 4? C. after 6 days of stoppage and that the paraffins begin to crystallize in less than 1 day of cooling. On the other hand, for a coefficient of 0.5 W/m.sup.2K, more than 14 days are needed to completely cool the section and more than 3 days for the paraffins to begin the crystallization process.

[0054] Similarly, using rheological models as a post-processing step for the results, radial and average yield stress profiles are obtained from the radial profiles of crystallized paraffin fraction, as shown in FIGS. 4 and 5.

[0055] The stress profiles presented in FIGS. 4 and 5 make it possible to estimate the Available Waiting Time (TED) as a function of the evolution of the Yield Stress (TLE), which, in its turn, can be used to estimate the minimum pressure required to restart the flow. As an example, using FIG. 5 as a reference, it is observed that the increase in TLE in the section only occurs from the 4.sup.th day onwards for the exchange coefficient of 0.5 W/(m.sup.2K) and with 2 days and 1 day for the coefficients of 1 and 2 W/(m.sup.2K), respectively. From this information, operational criteria can be developed based on the maximum pressure available to resume flow, considering the diameter of the line and the length of the section with gelled material.

[0056] Therefore, the ability to predict the evolution of the precipitated paraffin fraction together with the viscoelastic properties of paraffinic oils under cooling conditions inside submarine pipes is of great use: [0057] In the design of the pumping system in terms of the appropriate choice of pumps, diameters, internal treatment of the pipes; [0058] Estimation of how long the production operation can be stopped before the line is completely blocked; [0059] Better scheduling of mechanical deposit removal operations (also known as pigging) or other forms of intervention; [0060] Estimation of the pressure required to restart production after the stoppage period; [0061] Estimation of fluid flow after restarting production.

[0062] In this way, a reduction in oil production losses resulting from the occurrence of blockages by paraffinic oil in subsea lines during a production stoppage is expected and, also, a safer, more economical and efficient production.

REFERENCES

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