Various examples are directed to systems and methods for adaptively generating leads. A marketing system may determine that a first lead score for a first lead is greater than a first lead score threshold and determine that a second lead score for a second lead is less than the first lead score threshold. The marketing system may generate a set of filtered leads including the first lead information from the first lead. The marketing system may determine a scrub rate that describes a portion of first execution cycle data having lead scores greater than the first lead score threshold and determine that the scrub rate is greater than an analysis window scrub rate by more than a scrub rate threshold. The marketing system may select a second lead score threshold that is lower than the first lead score threshold.

Systems, methods, and computer-readable storage media that may be used to generate causal models and calculate a selection bias in mixed media. In some embodiments, the selection bias calculation is in search sponsored content in the context of mixed media modeling. In some embodiments, a method for search bias correction is based on the back-door criterion from causal inference.

Methods, systems, and apparatus, including computer programs encoded on a computer storage medium, for providing conversion path performance measures and reports. In one aspect, user interaction data are obtained, were the user interaction data specify user interactions for a plurality of conversions. User interactions that are associated with each conversion are selected from the user interaction data, where the associated user interactions for each conversion are user interactions with a converting user during the conversion cycle for the conversion. Using the user interaction data for the selected user interactions, a quantity of user interactions that are associated with each conversion and occurred during the conversion cycle for the conversion are determined. In turn, conversion path performance measures are computed and reports specifying the conversion path performance measures are generated.

Systems and related methods of providing promotional offers to consumers are discussed herein. Some embodiments may provide for an apparatus including circuitry configured to provide promotional offers to consumers based on dimensions representing criteria by which promotions may be deemed relevant to a consumer. Some examples of dimensions may include location, time, environment, price, and/or consumer preference. Based on receiving signals from the consumer device, among other sources, indicating associated times, locations, and other characteristics of consumer activity, the apparatus may recognize patterns or trends in consumer behavior, and use such information to predict or influence future consumer behavior.

Embodiments provide computer apparatuses, computer systems and computer-executable methods for recommending a commercial item or entity to a consumer based on geographic zone data. The method includes receiving a first predetermined geographic zone, a first importance score associated with a consumer for the first predetermined geographic zone, and a second importance score associated with a commercial item or entity for the first predetermined geographic zone. The method also includes programmatically generating an overlap score based on the first and second importance scores, and programmatically generating a relevancy score based on the overlap score, the relevancy score indicating a probability that the commercial item or entity is of relevance to the consumer. The method further includes, based on the relevancy score, transmitting instructions to a computing device associated with the consumer to cause the computing device to render a representation of the commercial item or entity.

One or more computing devices, systems, and/or methods for selecting content items for transmission to client devices are provided. A first content item may be transmitted to a first set of client devices. A first request for content associated with a first client device of a second set of client devices may be received. A first bid value associated with a second content item may be selected. The first bid value may be modified based upon a second bid value associated with the first content item to generate a third bid value associated with the second content item. The second content item may be selected from a first plurality of content items for presentation via the first client device based upon a plurality of bid values having the third bid value. The second content item may be transmitted to the first client device.

Techniques are provided for controlling resource usage in a computing environment. In response to receiving a content request, a set of candidate content delivery campaigns is identified. For a first candidate content delivery campaign in the set, an anticipated resource usage of a resource that is associated with the first candidate content delivery campaign is determined. The anticipated resource usage is determined based on (1) a resource reduction per event of each event in a set of detected events of a content item of the first candidate content delivery campaign and (2) a decay factor. Based on the anticipated resource usage, it is determined whether the first candidate content delivery campaign is to be removed from the set.

A method, apparatus, and computer program product are disclosed to improve generation of electronic communications. The method may provide a plurality of content slots each configured to receive content, the content comprising at least one of promotion content or non-promotion content. The method may also include maintaining a database comprising a plurality of promotion content generators and non-promotion content generators, and determining, using a processor, one of the plurality of promotion content generators or non-promotion content generators for respectively supplying corresponding promotion content or non-promotion content to each of the plurality of content slots. The determining the one of the plurality of promotion content generators or non-promotion content generators may include determining selection parameters, and scoring the plurality of promotion content generators and non-promotion content generators based at least in part on the selection parameters.

A computer-implemented method for determining a micro-moment value that indicates an optimal time for a customer to receive a targeted advertisement. The method includes receiving, via a network, customer data associated with behavior of a plurality of customers. The method includes determining, via one or more processors, a micro-moment value predicting an optimal time and network location to engage a customer based on the customer data.

Methods, systems, and apparatus, including computer programs encoded on a computer storage medium, for distributing content items. In one aspect, a method includes receiving user interaction data specifying user interactions with a publisher resource. A heat map specifying levels of user interaction with various portions of the publisher resource is created. Content item slot performance information specifying one or more performance measures for content items presented in various candidate content item slot locations are identified. One of the candidate content item slot locations is selected based on the heat map and the one or more performance measures. Data that cause presentation of suggestion information that identify the one candidate content item slot location as a suggested content item slot location are generated and output.